Cambridge United vs Barnet: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cambridge Unitedvs
BarnetThe model puts Cambridge United at 46%. The model leans toward Cambridge United. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cambridge United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Barnet have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cambridge United have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cambridge United is priced at 2.02.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Cambridge United at 46%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Barnet at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Cambridge United. Cambridge United is priced at 2.02. The draw is priced at 3.432. Barnet is priced at 3.53.
Cambridge United have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Barnet have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cambridge United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Barnet have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cambridge United or Barnet?
Our model rates Cambridge United as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cambridge United vs Barnet?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Cambridge United wins, 5 draws, 5 Barnet wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Cambridge United
- 1Eastwood J.
- 2Bennett
- 3Perry
- 4Ball Dom.
- 6Watts
- 7Heat
- 9Appere L.
- 10Knight B.
- 21McLoughlin She.
- 23Jobe
- 27McConnell
Barnet
- 4Collinge
- 5Senior
- 6Williams
- 8Lakin Ch.
- 10Ofoborh
- 11Kanu I.
- 13Cox M.
- 20Tshimanga K.
- 22Gallagher
- 25Tavares
- 30Kenlock
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.