Grimsby Town vs Blackpool: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Grimsby Town at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Grimsby Town.
- −The head-to-head record favours Blackpool (1-1-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Grimsby Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Blackpool have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Grimsby Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Grimsby Town is priced at 2.395.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Grimsby Town at 42%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Blackpool at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Grimsby Town is priced at 2.395. The draw is priced at 3.34. Blackpool is priced at 2.86.
Grimsby Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Blackpool have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Grimsby Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Blackpool have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Grimsby Town or Blackpool?
Our model rates Grimsby Town as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Grimsby Town vs Blackpool?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Grimsby Town wins, 1 draws, 2 Blackpool wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.