VSG Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VSG Altglienickevs
VfL WolfsburgThe model puts VfL Wolfsburg at 80%. The model leans toward VfL Wolfsburg. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- VfL Wolfsburg have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- VfL Wolfsburg is priced at 1.162.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 3 | |
| 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VSG Altglienicke at 8%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts VfL Wolfsburg at 80%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward VfL Wolfsburg. VSG Altglienicke is priced at 13.5. The draw is priced at 7.6. VfL Wolfsburg is priced at 1.162.
VfL Wolfsburg have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 16% for both teams to score. The model gives 21% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VSG Altglienicke or VfL Wolfsburg?
Our model rates VfL Wolfsburg as the most likely outcome at 80% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VSG Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.