Sonnenhof vs Arminia Bielefeld: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sonnenhofvs
Arminia BielefeldThe model puts Arminia Bielefeld at 63%. The model leans toward Arminia Bielefeld. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Arminia Bielefeld.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sonnenhof have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Arminia Bielefeld have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Arminia Bielefeld is priced at 1.5.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Sonnenhof at 17%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Arminia Bielefeld at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Arminia Bielefeld. Sonnenhof is priced at 5.51. The draw is priced at 4.55. Arminia Bielefeld is priced at 1.5.
Arminia Bielefeld have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Sonnenhof have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Arminia Bielefeld have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sonnenhof or Arminia Bielefeld?
Our model rates Arminia Bielefeld as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sonnenhof vs Arminia Bielefeld?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Sonnenhof wins, 0 draws, 2 Arminia Bielefeld wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.