Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn 07: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Phonix Lubeckvs
Paderborn 07The model puts Paderborn 07 at 81%. The model leans toward Paderborn 07. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Phonix Lubeck have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Paderborn 07 is priced at 1.155.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 22 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Phonix Lubeck at 7%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Paderborn 07 at 81%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Paderborn 07. Phonix Lubeck is priced at 15.2. The draw is priced at 8.13. Paderborn 07 is priced at 1.155.
Phonix Lubeck have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 21% for both teams to score. The model gives 35% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Phonix Lubeck or Paderborn 07?
Our model rates Paderborn 07 as the most likely outcome at 81% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn 07?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.