Latvia vs Cyprus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Latviavs
CyprusThe model puts Latvia at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Latvia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cyprus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Latvia is priced at 2.6.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Latvia at 36%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Cyprus at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Latvia is priced at 2.6. The draw is priced at 3.28. Cyprus is priced at 2.744.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Latvia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Cyprus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Latvia or Cyprus?
Our model rates Latvia as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Latvia vs Cyprus?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Latvia wins, 1 draws, 0 Cyprus wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League C| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.