VfB 1921 Krieschow vs 1. FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfB 1921 Krieschowvs
1. FSV Mainz 05The model puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 93%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 is priced at 1.008.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 5 |
| 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts VfB 1921 Krieschow at 4%. The model puts the draw at 2%. The model puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 93%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward 1. FSV Mainz 05. VfB 1921 Krieschow is priced at 27. The draw is priced at 43. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is priced at 1.008.
The model gives 16% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfB 1921 Krieschow or 1. FSV Mainz 05?
Our model rates 1. FSV Mainz 05 as the most likely outcome at 93% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfB 1921 Krieschow vs 1. FSV Mainz 05?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.