Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Romaniavs
Bosnia and HerzegovinaThe model puts Romania at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Romania have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Romania have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Romania is priced at 2.07.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Romania at 44%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Romania. Romania is priced at 2.07. The draw is priced at 3.1. Bosnia and Herzegovina is priced at 3.63.
Romania have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Bosnia and Herzegovina have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Romania have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Bosnia and Herzegovina have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Romania or Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Our model rates Romania as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 4 Romania wins, 0 draws, 4 Bosnia and Herzegovina wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.