Horsens vs Nordsjaelland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Horsensvs
NordsjaellandThe model puts Nordsjaelland at 46%. The model leans toward Nordsjaelland. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Horsens.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Horsens have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nordsjaelland have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Horsens have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nordsjaelland is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Horsens at 28%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Nordsjaelland at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Nordsjaelland. Horsens is priced at 3.71. The draw is priced at 3.64. Nordsjaelland is priced at 1.91.
Horsens have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Nordsjaelland have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Horsens have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Nordsjaelland have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Horsens or Nordsjaelland?
Our model rates Nordsjaelland as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Horsens vs Nordsjaelland?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Horsens wins, 3 draws, 1 Nordsjaelland wins.
League table
Denmark. Superliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SonderjyskE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Silkeborg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  AGF Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Brondby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Copenhagen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Horsens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Lyngby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Odense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Randers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Viborg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.