SonderjyskE vs Midtjylland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
SonderjyskEvs
MidtjyllandThe model puts Midtjylland at 60%. The model leans toward Midtjylland. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Midtjylland.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- SonderjyskE have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Midtjylland have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- SonderjyskE have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Midtjylland is priced at 1.56.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts SonderjyskE at 18%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Midtjylland at 60%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Midtjylland. SonderjyskE is priced at 5.15. The draw is priced at 4.3. Midtjylland is priced at 1.56.
SonderjyskE have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Midtjylland have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
SonderjyskE have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Midtjylland have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Midtjylland are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, SonderjyskE or Midtjylland?
Our model rates Midtjylland as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for SonderjyskE vs Midtjylland?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 SonderjyskE wins, 1 draws, 3 Midtjylland wins.
League table
Denmark. Superliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SonderjyskE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Silkeborg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  AGF Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Brondby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Copenhagen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Horsens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Lyngby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Odense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Randers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Viborg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.