Servette vs Basel: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Servettevs
BaselThe model puts Servette at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Servette.
- +The head-to-head record favours Servette (4-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Servette have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Basel have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Servette have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Servette is priced at 2.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Servette at 43%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Basel at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Servette is priced at 2.38. The draw is priced at 3.74. Basel is priced at 2.6.
Servette have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Basel have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Servette have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Basel have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Servette or Basel?
Our model rates Servette as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Servette vs Basel?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Servette wins, 1 draws, 1 Basel wins.
League table
Switzerland. SuperLeague| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lausanne-Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Servette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Basel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Young Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Grasshopper Club Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Luzern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Sion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  St. Gallen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.