Red Bull Salzburg vs Hartberg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Red Bull Salzburgvs
HartbergThe model puts Red Bull Salzburg at 71%. The model leans toward Red Bull Salzburg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Hartberg.
- +The head-to-head record favours Red Bull Salzburg (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Red Bull Salzburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hartberg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Red Bull Salzburg have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Red Bull Salzburg is priced at 1.295.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Red Bull Salzburg at 71%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Hartberg at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Red Bull Salzburg. Red Bull Salzburg is priced at 1.295. The draw is priced at 5.35. Hartberg is priced at 9.2.
Red Bull Salzburg have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Hartberg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Red Bull Salzburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Red Bull Salzburg are on 2 wins in a row. Hartberg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Hartberg are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Red Bull Salzburg or Hartberg?
Our model rates Red Bull Salzburg as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Red Bull Salzburg vs Hartberg?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Red Bull Salzburg wins, 2 draws, 1 Hartberg wins.
League table
Austria. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  WSG Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Austria Wien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  LASK Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Rapid Wien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Red Bull Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Rheindorf Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Austria Lustenau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.