LASK Linz vs Grazer AK: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
LASK Linzvs
Grazer AKThe model puts LASK Linz at 57%. The model leans toward LASK Linz. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours LASK Linz.
- −The head-to-head record favours Grazer AK (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- LASK Linz have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Grazer AK have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- LASK Linz have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- LASK Linz will be without Smakaj A..
- Grazer AK will be without Italiano Jac..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts LASK Linz at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Grazer AK at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward LASK Linz. LASK Linz is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 3.84. Grazer AK is priced at 4.89.
LASK Linz have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Grazer AK have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
LASK Linz have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. LASK Linz are on 2 wins in a row. Grazer AK have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, LASK Linz or Grazer AK?
Our model rates LASK Linz as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for LASK Linz vs Grazer AK?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 LASK Linz wins, 1 draws, 4 Grazer AK wins.
League table
Austria. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  WSG Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Austria Wien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | LASK Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Rapid Wien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Rheindorf Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Austria Lustenau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.