Austria Lustenau vs Ried: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Austria Lustenauvs
RiedThe model puts Austria Lustenau at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Austria Lustenau have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ried have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Austria Lustenau have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Austria Lustenau is priced at 2.62.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Austria Lustenau at 36%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Ried at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Austria Lustenau is priced at 2.62. The draw is priced at 3.22. Ried is priced at 2.63.
Austria Lustenau have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Austria Lustenau have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Ried have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Austria Lustenau or Ried?
Our model rates Austria Lustenau as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Austria Lustenau vs Ried?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Austria Lustenau wins, 5 draws, 0 Ried wins.
League table
Austria. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  WSG Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Austria Wien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  LASK Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Rapid Wien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Rheindorf Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Austria Lustenau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.