Defensa y Justicia vs CA Aldosivi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Defensa y Justiciavs
CA AldosiviThe model puts Defensa y Justicia at 51%. The model leans toward Defensa y Justicia. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Defensa y Justicia.
- −The head-to-head record favours CA Aldosivi (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Defensa y Justicia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CA Aldosivi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Defensa y Justicia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Defensa y Justicia is priced at 1.902.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Defensa y Justicia at 51%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts CA Aldosivi at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Defensa y Justicia. Defensa y Justicia is priced at 1.902. The draw is priced at 3.19. CA Aldosivi is priced at 4.675.
Defensa y Justicia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. CA Aldosivi have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Defensa y Justicia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. CA Aldosivi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Defensa y Justicia or CA Aldosivi?
Our model rates Defensa y Justicia as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Defensa y Justicia vs CA Aldosivi?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Defensa y Justicia wins, 2 draws, 3 CA Aldosivi wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newell's Old Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Union de Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.