Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Club Atletico Tigre: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Club Atletico Tigre at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Club Atletico Tigre.
- +Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Club Atletico Tigre are dealing with notable absentees.
- −The head-to-head record favours Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (2-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Tigre have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto will be without Alanis G., Fenoglio, Ruiz, Gonzalez.
- Club Atletico Tigre will be without Leyes, Alan Sebastian Lezcano, Saralegui.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at 26%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Club Atletico Tigre at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto is priced at 3.955. The draw is priced at 2.93. Club Atletico Tigre is priced at 2.181.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Tigre have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Tigre are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto or Club Atletico Tigre?
Our model rates Club Atletico Tigre as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Club Atletico Tigre?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins, 1 draws, 0 Club Atletico Tigre wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.