Club Atletico Lanus vs San Lorenzo de Almagro: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Atletico Lanusvs
San Lorenzo de AlmagroThe model puts Club Atletico Lanus at 48%. The model leans toward Club Atletico Lanus. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Club Atletico Lanus.
- −The head-to-head record favours San Lorenzo de Almagro (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Atletico Lanus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- San Lorenzo de Almagro have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Lanus have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Club Atletico Lanus is priced at 2.038.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Atletico Lanus at 48%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts San Lorenzo de Almagro at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Club Atletico Lanus. Club Atletico Lanus is priced at 2.038. The draw is priced at 2.813. San Lorenzo de Almagro is priced at 4.84.
Club Atletico Lanus have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. San Lorenzo de Almagro have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Club Atletico Lanus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Lanus are on 2 wins in a row. San Lorenzo de Almagro have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Atletico Lanus or San Lorenzo de Almagro?
Our model rates Club Atletico Lanus as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Atletico Lanus vs San Lorenzo de Almagro?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Club Atletico Lanus wins, 2 draws, 3 San Lorenzo de Almagro wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newell's Old Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Lanus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo de Almagro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Union de Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Defensa y Justicia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.