Newell's Old Boys vs Talleres de Cordoba: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Newell's Old Boysvs
Talleres de CordobaThe model puts Newell's Old Boys at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Talleres de Cordoba.
- −Newell's Old Boys are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Talleres de Cordoba are dealing with notable absentees.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Newell's Old Boys have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Talleres de Cordoba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Newell's Old Boys have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Newell's Old Boys will be without Nunez, Arias G., Montero Ale., Escobar F..
- Talleres de Cordoba will be without Maidana, Rio, Gomes.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Newell's Old Boys at 36%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Talleres de Cordoba at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Newell's Old Boys is priced at 2.803. The draw is priced at 2.864. Talleres de Cordoba is priced at 2.884.
Newell's Old Boys have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Talleres de Cordoba have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Newell's Old Boys have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Newell's Old Boys are on 2 wins in a row. Talleres de Cordoba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Newell's Old Boys or Talleres de Cordoba?
Our model rates Newell's Old Boys as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Newell's Old Boys vs Talleres de Cordoba?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Newell's Old Boys wins, 1 draws, 3 Talleres de Cordoba wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newell's Old Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Union de Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Talleres de Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Defensa y Justicia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.