RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
RasenBallsport Leipzigvs
Borussia MonchengladbachThe model puts RasenBallsport Leipzig at 61%. The model leans toward RasenBallsport Leipzig. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Borussia Monchengladbach.
- +The head-to-head record favours RasenBallsport Leipzig (8-3-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- RasenBallsport Leipzig have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Borussia Monchengladbach have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RasenBallsport Leipzig have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- RasenBallsport Leipzig is priced at 1.53.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts RasenBallsport Leipzig at 61%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Borussia Monchengladbach at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward RasenBallsport Leipzig. RasenBallsport Leipzig is priced at 1.53. The draw is priced at 4.6. Borussia Monchengladbach is priced at 5.45.
RasenBallsport Leipzig have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Borussia Monchengladbach have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
RasenBallsport Leipzig have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Borussia Monchengladbach have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Borussia Monchengladbach are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, RasenBallsport Leipzig or Borussia Monchengladbach?
Our model rates RasenBallsport Leipzig as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 RasenBallsport Leipzig wins, 3 draws, 4 Borussia Monchengladbach wins.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a46569f5e99bd05c646de30 |
| 4 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Hamburger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 |  1. Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a46569f5e99bd05c646de30 |
| 17 |  Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.