Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Union Berlinvs
Eintracht FrankfurtThe model puts Union Berlin at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Eintracht Frankfurt.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Union Berlin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Eintracht Frankfurt have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Union Berlin have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Union Berlin is priced at 2.43.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Union Berlin at 38%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Eintracht Frankfurt at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Union Berlin is priced at 2.43. The draw is priced at 3.56. Eintracht Frankfurt is priced at 2.765.
Union Berlin have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Union Berlin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Eintracht Frankfurt have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our model rates Union Berlin as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Union Berlin wins, 4 draws, 6 Eintracht Frankfurt wins.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a46569f5e99bd05c646de30 |
| 4 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Hamburger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 |  1. Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a46569f5e99bd05c646de30 |
| 17 |  Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.