Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Wycombe Wanderers at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Stevenage.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wycombe Wanderers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stevenage have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wycombe Wanderers have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Wycombe Wanderers is priced at 2.2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Wycombe Wanderers at 41%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Stevenage at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Wycombe Wanderers. Wycombe Wanderers is priced at 2.2. The draw is priced at 3.3. Stevenage is priced at 3.2.
Wycombe Wanderers have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Stevenage have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Wycombe Wanderers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Stevenage have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Stevenage are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wycombe Wanderers or Stevenage?
Our model rates Wycombe Wanderers as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Wycombe Wanderers wins, 0 draws, 3 Stevenage wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.