Mansfield Town vs Sheffield United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Mansfield Townvs
Sheffield UnitedThe model puts Sheffield United at 53%. The model leans toward Sheffield United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Mansfield Town.
- +Mansfield Town are dealing with notable absentees.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Mansfield Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sheffield United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mansfield Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Mansfield Town will be without Cargill B, Bolton Lu..
- Sheffield United is priced at 1.81.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Mansfield Town at 23%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Sheffield United at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Sheffield United. Mansfield Town is priced at 4.025. The draw is priced at 3.75. Sheffield United is priced at 1.81.
Mansfield Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Sheffield United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Mansfield Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Sheffield United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Sheffield United are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Mansfield Town or Sheffield United?
Our model rates Sheffield United as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Mansfield Town vs Sheffield United?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 2 Mansfield Town wins, 1 draws, 2 Sheffield United wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Mansfield Town
- 0Lewes
- 0Sweeney R.
- 0Oshilaja
- 0Tracy B.
- 0McLaughlin S.
- 0Hendrie
- 0Reed L.
- 0Russell
- 0Akins
- 0Smith Mich.
- 0McGoldrick
- Cargill B (2)
- Bolton Lu. (2)
Sheffield United
- 0Cooper
- 0McCallum
- 0Baptiste
- 0Tanganga
- 0Doherty M.
- 0O'Hare
- 0Riedewald
- 0Hamer G.
- 0Donovan
- 0Bamford
- 0Cannon
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.