RC Lens vs Auxerre: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
RC Lensvs
AuxerreThe model puts RC Lens at 61%. The model leans toward RC Lens. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours RC Lens (9-3-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- RC Lens have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Auxerre have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RC Lens have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- RC Lens is priced at 1.595.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts RC Lens at 61%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Auxerre at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward RC Lens. RC Lens is priced at 1.595. The draw is priced at 4.3. Auxerre is priced at 5.1.
RC Lens have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Auxerre have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
RC Lens have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Auxerre have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, RC Lens or Auxerre?
Our model rates RC Lens as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for RC Lens vs Auxerre?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 RC Lens wins, 3 draws, 3 Auxerre wins.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Lille OSC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a39ad8b5e99bd05c640bcdf |
| 5 |  Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  AS Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Angers SCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a39ad8b5e99bd05c640bcdf |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Troyes AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Olympique de Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 | RC Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 |  Stade Rennais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.