Nice vs Lorient: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nicevs
LorientThe model puts Nice at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Lorient (3-5-7).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nice have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lorient have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nice have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nice is priced at 2.168.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nice at 43%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Lorient at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Nice. Nice is priced at 2.168. The draw is priced at 3.64. Lorient is priced at 3.152.
Nice have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Lorient have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nice have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Lorient have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nice or Lorient?
Our model rates Nice as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nice vs Lorient?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Nice wins, 5 draws, 7 Lorient wins.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Lille OSC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a39ad8b5e99bd05c640bcdf |
| 5 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  AS Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Angers SCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a39ad8b5e99bd05c640bcdf |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Troyes AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Olympique de Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  RC Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 |  Stade Rennais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.