Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Le Mansvs
Stade Brestois 29The model puts Le Mans at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Le Mans.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Le Mans have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stade Brestois 29 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Le Mans have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Le Mans is priced at 2.46.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Le Mans at 41%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Stade Brestois 29 at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Le Mans is priced at 2.46. The draw is priced at 3.56. Stade Brestois 29 is priced at 2.725.
Le Mans have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Le Mans have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Stade Brestois 29 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Le Mans or Stade Brestois 29?
Our model rates Le Mans as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Le Mans wins, 1 draws, 0 Stade Brestois 29 wins.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Lille OSC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a39ad8b5e99bd05c640bcdf |
| 5 |  Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  AS Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Angers SCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a39ad8b5e99bd05c640bcdf |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Troyes AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Olympique de Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  RC Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 |  Stade Rennais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.