Zira vs Torpedo Kutaisi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ziravs
Torpedo KutaisiThe model puts Zira at 58%. The model leans toward Zira. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Torpedo Kutaisi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zira is priced at 1.62.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zira at 58%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Torpedo Kutaisi at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Zira. Zira is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 4. Torpedo Kutaisi is priced at 4.85.
Torpedo Kutaisi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Torpedo Kutaisi are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zira or Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our model rates Zira as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zira vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.