Differdange 03 vs Ilves: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Differdange 03vs
IlvesThe model puts Ilves at 51%. The model leans toward Ilves. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Ilves have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ilves is priced at 1.82.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Differdange 03 at 26%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Ilves at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Ilves. Differdange 03 is priced at 3.695. The draw is priced at 3.94. Ilves is priced at 1.82.
Ilves have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 43% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Differdange 03 or Ilves?
Our model rates Ilves as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Differdange 03 vs Ilves?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.