Wexford Youths vs Kerry FC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Wexford Youthsvs
Kerry FCThe model puts Wexford Youths at 47%. The model leans toward Wexford Youths. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wexford Youths have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kerry FC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wexford Youths have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Wexford Youths is priced at 1.929.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Wexford Youths at 47%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Kerry FC at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Wexford Youths. Wexford Youths is priced at 1.929. The draw is priced at 3.15. Kerry FC is priced at 3.795.
Wexford Youths have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Kerry FC have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Wexford Youths have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Kerry FC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wexford Youths or Kerry FC?
Our model rates Wexford Youths as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wexford Youths vs Kerry FC?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Wexford Youths wins, 2 draws, 2 Kerry FC wins.
League table
Ireland. Division 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 43:11 | 54 |
| 2 |  University College Dublin | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 36:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Bray Wanderers | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40:30 | 34 |
| 4 |  Cobh Ramblers | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:30 | 31 |
| 5 |  Longford Town | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:27 | 28 |
| 6 | Wexford Youths | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 25:30 | 27 |
| 7 | Kerry FC | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:27 | 25 |
| 8 |  Athlone Town | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 19:27 | 24 |
| 9 |  Finn Harps | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 20:37 | 22 |
| 10 |  Treaty United | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 21:34 | 20 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.