Bray Wanderers vs University College Dublin: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bray Wanderersvs
University College DublinThe model puts Bray Wanderers at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bray Wanderers.
- −The head-to-head record favours University College Dublin (2-0-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bray Wanderers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- University College Dublin have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bray Wanderers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bray Wanderers is priced at 2.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bray Wanderers at 42%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts University College Dublin at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Bray Wanderers is priced at 2.26. The draw is priced at 3.44. University College Dublin is priced at 2.731.
Bray Wanderers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. University College Dublin have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Bray Wanderers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. University College Dublin have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bray Wanderers or University College Dublin?
Our model rates Bray Wanderers as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bray Wanderers vs University College Dublin?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Bray Wanderers wins, 0 draws, 4 University College Dublin wins.
Odds movement
League table
Ireland. Division 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 43:11 | 54 |
| 2 | University College Dublin | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 36:21 | 36 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40:30 | 34 |
| 4 |  Cobh Ramblers | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:30 | 31 |
| 5 |  Longford Town | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:27 | 28 |
| 6 |  Wexford Youths | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 25:30 | 27 |
| 7 |  Kerry FC | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:27 | 25 |
| 8 |  Athlone Town | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 19:27 | 24 |
| 9 |  Finn Harps | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 20:37 | 22 |
| 10 |  Treaty United | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 21:34 | 20 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.