Cork City vs Longford Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cork Cityvs
Longford TownThe model puts Cork City at 68%. The model leans toward Cork City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Longford Town.
- −The head-to-head record favours Longford Town (0-0-6).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cork City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Longford Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cork City is priced at 1.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cork City at 68%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Longford Town at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Cork City. Cork City is priced at 1.26. The draw is priced at 5.1. Longford Town is priced at 9.05.
Longford Town have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Cork City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Longford Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cork City or Longford Town?
Our model rates Cork City as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cork City vs Longford Town?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Cork City wins, 0 draws, 6 Longford Town wins.
League table
Ireland. Division 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 43:11 | 54 |
| 2 |  University College Dublin | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 36:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Bray Wanderers | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40:30 | 34 |
| 4 |  Cobh Ramblers | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:30 | 31 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:27 | 28 |
| 6 |  Wexford Youths | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 25:30 | 27 |
| 7 |  Kerry FC | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:27 | 25 |
| 8 |  Athlone Town | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 19:27 | 24 |
| 9 |  Finn Harps | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 20:37 | 22 |
| 10 |  Treaty United | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 21:34 | 20 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.