Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Go Ahead Eaglesvs
Willem IIThe model puts Go Ahead Eagles at 57%. The model leans toward Go Ahead Eagles. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Go Ahead Eagles are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Willem II are dealing with notable absentees.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Go Ahead Eagles have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Willem II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Go Ahead Eagles have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Go Ahead Eagles will be without Weijenberg, Nauber, Сатхоф.
- Willem II will be without Zarrouk, Lachkar, Schuurman J..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Go Ahead Eagles at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Willem II at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Go Ahead Eagles. Go Ahead Eagles is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 4.1. Willem II is priced at 4.82.
Go Ahead Eagles have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Willem II have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Go Ahead Eagles have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Go Ahead Eagles are on 2 wins in a row. Willem II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Willem II are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Go Ahead Eagles or Willem II?
Our model rates Go Ahead Eagles as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Go Ahead Eagles wins, 0 draws, 3 Willem II wins.
Match statistics
Go Ahead Eagles
- 0Haug
- 0James
- 0Kramer J.
- 0van Zwam
- 0Sampsted
- 0Linthorst E.
- 0Meulensteen
- 0Edvardsen
- 0Suray
- 0Tengstedt
- 0Sigurdarson
- Weijenberg (Missing Player)
- Nauber (Missing Player)
- Сатхоф (Missing Player)
Willem II
- 0Didillon
- 0Tjoe-A-On
- 0Hoogma
- 0Stam
- 0Loon
- 0Boogaard
- 0Eendracht Aalst
- 0Ciranni
- 0Slory
- 0Haen
- 0Gurbuz
- Zarrouk (Questionable)
- Lachkar (Missing Player)
- Schuurman J. (Missing Player)
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  PSV Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  N.E.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.