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Germany DFB Pokal

Wurzburger Kickers vs 1. Koln: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Wurzburger Kickers Wurzburger Kickersvs1. Koln 1. Koln
Our prediction1. Koln to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts 1. Koln at 71%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Wurzburger KickersDraw2 · 1. Koln
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.00+17.3%
1X2Wurzburger Kickers8.70+0.8%
1X2Draw5.45-0.2%
1X21. Koln1.30-0.6%
BTTSYes1.73-17.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Wurzburger Kickers
37
1. Koln
73

Most likely scorelines

0-115.8%
0-215.6%
0-310.3%
1-18.7%
1-28.6%
0-08.0%

Expected goals

0.55Wurzburger Kickers
xG
1.971. Koln
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score36%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Wurzburger Kickers 1. Koln

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X21. Koln win1.30Fair (-0.6%)
Double chance1. Koln or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0816161052
1499631
21222
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Wurzburger Kickers at 12%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts 1. Koln at 71%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward 1. Koln. Wurzburger Kickers is priced at 8.7. The draw is priced at 5.45. 1. Koln is priced at 1.3.

The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Wurzburger Kickers or 1. Koln?

Our model rates 1. Koln as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Wurzburger Kickers vs 1. Koln?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.