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Germany DFB Pokal

Bahlinger vs 1. Magdeburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Bahlinger Bahlingervs1. Magdeburg 1. Magdeburg
Our prediction1. Magdeburg to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 0-2

The model puts 1. Magdeburg at 87%. The model leans toward 1. Magdeburg. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Our prediction was correct (predicted: 1. Magdeburg · actual: 1. Magdeburg)

Win probabilities

1 · BahlingerDraw2 · 1. Magdeburg
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Bahlinger27.00+4.6%
1X2Draw17.50-0.3%
1X21. Magdeburg1.02-4.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Bahlinger
47
1. Magdeburg
81

Recent form

BahlingerWWDWW
1. MagdeburgDDDLD

Most likely scorelines

0-220.1%
0-118.2%
0-314.8%
0-08.2%
0-48.1%
1-25.8%

Expected goals

0.29Bahlinger
xG
2.211. Magdeburg
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score22%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Bahlinger 1. Magdeburg

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X21. Magdeburg win1.02Avoid (-4.4%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0818201584
1256421
2
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Bahlinger at 8%. The model puts the draw at 5%. The model puts 1. Magdeburg at 87%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward 1. Magdeburg. Bahlinger is priced at 27. The draw is priced at 17.5. 1. Magdeburg is priced at 1.021.

1. Magdeburg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Bahlinger have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Bahlinger are on 2 wins in a row. 1. Magdeburg have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 22% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Bahlinger or 1. Magdeburg?

Our model rates 1. Magdeburg as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Bahlinger vs 1. Magdeburg?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Bahlinger wins, 0 draws, 1 1. Magdeburg wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.