Greuther Furth vs VfL Bochum: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Greuther Furthvs
VfL BochumThe model puts VfL Bochum at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Greuther Furth (8-4-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Greuther Furth have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Bochum have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greuther Furth have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfL Bochum is priced at 2.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Greuther Furth at 34%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts VfL Bochum at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Greuther Furth is priced at 3. The draw is priced at 3.26. VfL Bochum is priced at 2.34.
Greuther Furth have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. VfL Bochum have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Greuther Furth have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Greuther Furth are on 2 wins in a row. VfL Bochum have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Greuther Furth or VfL Bochum?
Our model rates VfL Bochum as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Greuther Furth vs VfL Bochum?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Greuther Furth wins, 4 draws, 3 VfL Bochum wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Greuther Furth
- 1Hellstern
- 6Bance
- 7Srbeny
- 8Appelkamp
- 10Pohlmann
- 13Will P.
- 22Heuer
- 23Dehm
- 27Itter
- 29Keresztes K.
- 30Felix Klaus
VfL Bochum
- 1Horn T.
- 5Mets K.
- 6Cokaj
- 7Rasmussen C.
- 10Taz
- 13Olsen O.
- 15Steinwender M.
- 23Miyoshi
- 24Pannewig
- 32Wittek
- 33Hofmann
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
VfL Bochum make it count (Rasmussen C. (25')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Half-time score: Greuther Furth 0 – 1 VfL Bochum.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–1)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–1)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.