Queretaro vs Club America: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Queretarovs
Club AmericaThe model puts Club America at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Queretaro.
- +The head-to-head record favours Club America (0-0-6).
- +Queretaro are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Club America are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Club America have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queretaro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club America have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Club America will be without Malagon L., Davila V., Zuniga Jo..
- Queretaro will be without Carcelen Carabali, Venegas F..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Club America have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Queretaro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Club America have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Club America will be without Malagon L., Davila V., Zuniga Jo.. Queretaro will be without Carcelen Carabali, Venegas F..
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Queretaro or Club America?
Our model rates Club America as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Queretaro vs Club America?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Queretaro wins, 0 draws, 6 Club America wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Queretaro
- 1Hernandez Jos
- 2Abascia
- 4Garcia
- 6Homenchenko
- 9Reyes Di.
- 14Unjanque
- 16Gimenez
- 22Duarte
- 27Parra
- 31Avila
- 37Coronel
- Carcelen Carabali (Questionable)
- Venegas F. (Questionable)
Club America
- 4Caceres
- 5Alvarez Ke.
- 6dos Santos
- 7Rodriguez Bra.
- 10Zendejas
- 12Violante
- 26Borja C.
- 28Sanchez
- 30Cota Rod.
- 32Vasquez
- 33Salas
- Malagon L. (Missing Player)
- Davila V. (Missing Player)
- Zuniga Jo. (Missing Player)
League table
Mexico. Liga MX| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Club Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Puebla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Pumas UNAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Leon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 16 |  Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Juarez | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Tigres de la UANL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.