Sheriff Tiraspol vs NK Aluminij: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sheriff Tiraspolvs
NK AluminijThe model puts Sheriff Tiraspol at 62%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sheriff Tiraspol is priced at 1.53.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sheriff Tiraspol at 62%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts NK Aluminij at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Sheriff Tiraspol. Sheriff Tiraspol is priced at 1.53. The draw is priced at 3.92. NK Aluminij is priced at 6.29.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sheriff Tiraspol or NK Aluminij?
Our model rates Sheriff Tiraspol as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sheriff Tiraspol vs NK Aluminij?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.