Qarabag vs Vestri: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Qarabagvs
VestriThe model puts Qarabag at 92%. Qarabag is priced at 1.025. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
- The model gives 35% for over 2.5 goals.
- Vestri have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 23 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 22 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 14 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 7 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Qarabag at 92%. The model puts the draw at 5%. The model puts Vestri at 3%.
Qarabag is priced at 1.025. Vestri is priced at 36. The market leans toward Qarabag.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 15% for both teams to score.
Vestri have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. The model gives 35% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Qarabag or Vestri?
Our model rates Qarabag as the most likely outcome at 92% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Qarabag vs Vestri?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.