Hajduk Split vs MSK Zilina: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hajduk Splitvs
MSK ZilinaThe model puts Hajduk Split at 61%. The model leans toward Hajduk Split. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hajduk Split.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hajduk Split have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- MSK Zilina have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hajduk Split is priced at 1.6.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hajduk Split at 61%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts MSK Zilina at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split is priced at 1.6. The draw is priced at 4.1. MSK Zilina is priced at 5.02.
MSK Zilina have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hajduk Split have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Hajduk Split are on 4 wins in a row. MSK Zilina have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hajduk Split or MSK Zilina?
Our model rates Hajduk Split as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hajduk Split vs MSK Zilina?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Hajduk Split wins, 1 draws, 1 MSK Zilina wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.