Dila Gori vs Virtus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dila Gorivs
VirtusThe model puts Dila Gori at 70%. The model leans toward Dila Gori. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Dila Gori have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dila Gori is priced at 1.33.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 5 | ||||
| 1 | 20 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 5 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dila Gori at 70%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Virtus at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dila Gori. Dila Gori is priced at 1.33. The draw is priced at 4.9. Virtus is priced at 8.5.
Dila Gori have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 28% for both teams to score. The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dila Gori or Virtus?
Our model rates Dila Gori as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dila Gori vs Virtus?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.