Petrovac vs VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Petrovacvs
VMFD Zalgiris VilniusThe model puts VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius is priced at 2.33.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Petrovac at 31%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Petrovac is priced at 3.035. The draw is priced at 3.18. VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius is priced at 2.33.
VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Petrovac or VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our model rates VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Petrovac vs VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.