Petrovac vs VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Petrovacvs
VMFD Zalgiris VilniusThe model puts VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius at 46%. The model leans toward VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
- VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model gives 43% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius at 46%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Petrovac at 26%.
VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius is priced at 2.02. Petrovac is priced at 3.69. The draw is priced at 3.25.
VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Petrovac or VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our model rates VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Petrovac vs VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.