Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennais: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Paris Saint-Germainvs
Stade RennaisThe model puts Paris Saint-Germain at 67%. The model leans toward Paris Saint-Germain. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Paris Saint-Germain.
- −The head-to-head record favours Stade Rennais (5-2-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Paris Saint-Germain have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stade Rennais have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Paris Saint-Germain have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Paris Saint-Germain is priced at 1.416.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Paris Saint-Germain at 67%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Stade Rennais at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Paris Saint-Germain. Paris Saint-Germain is priced at 1.416. The draw is priced at 5.45. Stade Rennais is priced at 6.05.
Paris Saint-Germain have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Stade Rennais have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Paris Saint-Germain have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Paris Saint-Germain are on 2 wins in a row. Stade Rennais have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Paris Saint-Germain or Stade Rennais?
Our model rates Paris Saint-Germain as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennais?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Paris Saint-Germain wins, 2 draws, 8 Stade Rennais wins.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Lille OSC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a39ad8b5e99bd05c640bcdf |
| 5 |  Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  AS Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Angers SCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a39ad8b5e99bd05c640bcdf |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Troyes AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Olympique de Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  RC Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 17 | Stade Rennais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.