Spartak Trnava vs CSKA Sofia 1948: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Spartak Trnavavs
CSKA Sofia 1948The model puts Spartak Trnava at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours CSKA Sofia 1948.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Spartak Trnava have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CSKA Sofia 1948 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Spartak Trnava is priced at 2.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Spartak Trnava at 39%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts CSKA Sofia 1948 at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Spartak Trnava is priced at 2.37. The draw is priced at 3.3. CSKA Sofia 1948 is priced at 2.912.
CSKA Sofia 1948 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Spartak Trnava have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. CSKA Sofia 1948 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Spartak Trnava or CSKA Sofia 1948?
Our model rates Spartak Trnava as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Spartak Trnava vs CSKA Sofia 1948?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Spartak Trnava wins, 0 draws, 1 CSKA Sofia 1948 wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.