Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Port Vale: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Wolverhampton Wanderers at 75%. The model leans toward Wolverhampton Wanderers. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Port Vale.
- −The head-to-head record favours Port Vale (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Port Vale have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers is priced at 1.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Wolverhampton Wanderers at 75%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Port Vale at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolverhampton Wanderers is priced at 1.24. The draw is priced at 7.06. Port Vale is priced at 8.17.
Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Port Vale have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Wolverhampton Wanderers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Port Vale have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wolverhampton Wanderers or Port Vale?
Our model rates Wolverhampton Wanderers as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Port Vale?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers wins, 2 draws, 3 Port Vale wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.