Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vikingur Gotavs
StjarnanThe model puts Stjarnan at 63%. The model leans toward Stjarnan. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Vikingur Gota.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Vikingur Gota have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stjarnan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stjarnan is priced at 1.43.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Vikingur Gota at 19%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Stjarnan at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Stjarnan. Vikingur Gota is priced at 5.99. The draw is priced at 5. Stjarnan is priced at 1.43.
Vikingur Gota have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Stjarnan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 68% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vikingur Gota or Stjarnan?
Our model rates Stjarnan as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.