1. Heidenheim vs VfL Osnabruck: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1. Heidenheimvs
VfL OsnabruckThe model puts 1. Heidenheim at 57%. The model leans toward 1. Heidenheim. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours 1. Heidenheim.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. Heidenheim have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Osnabruck have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Heidenheim have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Heidenheim is priced at 1.66.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts 1. Heidenheim at 57%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts VfL Osnabruck at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward 1. Heidenheim. 1. Heidenheim is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 3.75. VfL Osnabruck is priced at 5.03.
1. Heidenheim have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. VfL Osnabruck have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
1. Heidenheim have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Heidenheim are on 2 wins in a row. VfL Osnabruck have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1. Heidenheim or VfL Osnabruck?
Our model rates 1. Heidenheim as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1. Heidenheim vs VfL Osnabruck?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 4 1. Heidenheim wins, 3 draws, 5 VfL Osnabruck wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.