Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Darmstadt 98vs
HolsteinThe model puts Darmstadt 98 at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Darmstadt 98.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Holstein have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Darmstadt 98 have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Darmstadt 98 is priced at 2.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Darmstadt 98 at 44%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Holstein at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Darmstadt 98 is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 3.42. Holstein is priced at 3.045.
Darmstadt 98 have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Holstein have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Holstein have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Darmstadt 98 or Holstein?
Our model rates Darmstadt 98 as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Darmstadt 98 wins, 5 draws, 4 Holstein wins.
Odds movement
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  1. Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Holstein | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Hannover 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Karlsruher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Energie Cottbus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  VfL Osnabruck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Darmstadt 98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  1. Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  VfL Bochum | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.