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Germany. 2. Bundesliga

Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98vsHolstein Holstein
Our predictionDarmstadt 98 to win
Model score: Medium · 57/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Darmstadt 98 at 47%. The model leans toward Darmstadt 98. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Darmstadt 98Draw2 · Holstein
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.47+11.7%
1X2Darmstadt 982.17+4.0%
1X2Draw3.58-1.9%
1X2Holstein3.06-2.2%
BTTSYes1.48-11.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Darmstadt 98WWWLD
HolsteinLLDWW
Team strength rating
Darmstadt 98
70
Holstein
37

Most likely scorelines

1-111.8%
1-011.7%
2-19.6%
2-09.5%
0-17.3%
0-07.2%

Expected goals

1.62Darmstadt 98
xG
1.00Holstein
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Darmstadt 98 Holstein

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Darmstadt 98 win2.17Model edge (+4.0%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07741
1121262
2101052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Darmstadt 98 at 47%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Holstein at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Darmstadt 98. Darmstadt 98 is priced at 2.17. The draw is priced at 3.58. Holstein is priced at 3.055.

Darmstadt 98 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Holstein have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Darmstadt 98 are on 3 wins in a row. Holstein have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Darmstadt 98 or Holstein?

Our model rates Darmstadt 98 as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 Darmstadt 98 wins, 2 draws, 1 Holstein wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Germany. 2. Bundesliga
#TeamGPWLTGPtsForm
1Dynamo Dresden00000:00
2Eintracht Braunschweig00000:00
31. Magdeburg00000:00
4Holstein00000:006a484a535e99bd05c647c300
5VfL Wolfsburg00000:00
6Hannover 9600000:00
7Hertha BSC00000:006a484a535e99bd05c647c2fe
8Karlsruher00000:00
9VfL Bochum00000:006a484a535e99bd05c647c2fe
10Energie Cottbus00000:00
11Arminia Bielefeld00000:00
12Nurnberg00000:00
13Greuther Furth00000:00
14St. Pauli00000:00
15VfL Osnabruck00000:00
161. Kaiserslautern00000:00
17Darmstadt 9800000:006a484a535e99bd05c647c300
181. Heidenheim00000:00
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.