Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nurnbergvs
Dynamo DresdenThe model puts Nurnberg at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Nurnberg (4-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nurnberg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Dresden have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nurnberg have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nurnberg is priced at 2.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nurnberg at 44%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Dynamo Dresden at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Nurnberg is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 3.44. Dynamo Dresden is priced at 3.025.
Nurnberg have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Dynamo Dresden have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nurnberg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Dynamo Dresden have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nurnberg or Dynamo Dresden?
Our model rates Nurnberg as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Nurnberg wins, 1 draws, 1 Dynamo Dresden wins.
Odds movement
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  1. Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Holstein | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Hannover 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Hertha BSC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Karlsruher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Energie Cottbus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  VfL Osnabruck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Darmstadt 98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  1. Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.