Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets 1945: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hapoel Tel Avivvs
Ludogorets 1945The model puts Ludogorets 1945 at 38%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ludogorets 1945 is priced at 2.42.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Hapoel Tel Aviv at 31%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Ludogorets 1945 at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Hapoel Tel Aviv is priced at 3.06. The draw is priced at 3.05. Ludogorets 1945 is priced at 2.42.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hapoel Tel Aviv or Ludogorets 1945?
Our model rates Ludogorets 1945 as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets 1945?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.