S.P. La Fiorita vs UNA Strassen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
S.P. La Fioritavs
UNA StrassenThe model puts UNA Strassen at 67%. The model leans toward UNA Strassen. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours UNA Strassen.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- S.P. La Fiorita have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- UNA Strassen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- S.P. La Fiorita have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- UNA Strassen is priced at 1.4.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts S.P. La Fiorita at 12%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts UNA Strassen at 67%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward UNA Strassen. S.P. La Fiorita is priced at 7.7. The draw is priced at 4.35. UNA Strassen is priced at 1.4.
S.P. La Fiorita have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
S.P. La Fiorita have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. UNA Strassen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, S.P. La Fiorita or UNA Strassen?
Our model rates UNA Strassen as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for S.P. La Fiorita vs UNA Strassen?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 S.P. La Fiorita wins, 0 draws, 0 UNA Strassen wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.