Malisheva vs Vllaznia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Malishevavs
VllazniaThe model puts Malisheva at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Vllaznia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Malisheva have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vllaznia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Malisheva have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Malisheva is priced at 2.03.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Malisheva at 45%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Vllaznia at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Malisheva. Malisheva is priced at 2.03. The draw is priced at 3.58. Vllaznia is priced at 3.31.
Malisheva have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Malisheva have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Vllaznia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Malisheva or Vllaznia?
Our model rates Malisheva as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Malisheva vs Vllaznia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Malisheva wins, 0 draws, 0 Vllaznia wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.